Oct 9th 2024 Editorial

1. Lessons from the U.K.'s Energy Transition and Implications for India’s Path to Net Zero

 Introduction:

The closure of the U.K.’s last coal-fired power plant marks a significant milestone in its energy transition, reflecting global shifts towards cleaner energy.

However, replicating the U.K.’s approach in countries like India presents challenges due to different socio-economic and developmental contexts. India’s coal industry remains crucial to its energy needs, employment, and economic activities.

The transition from coal will require careful planning, region-specific strategies, and learning from both successes and mistakes of countries like the U.K.

 

U.K.’s Coal Transition:

  1. Historical Context:
    • The shift from coal in the U.K. began after the Great Smog of 1952, leading to legislation like the Clean Air Act of 1956.
    • The discovery of natural gas in 1965 and geopolitical factors such as depleting coal reserves during the Cold War also hastened the move away from coal.
    • The Thatcher government’s forced closure of mines in the 1980s led to regional poverty, highlighting the socio-economic challenges of abrupt transitions.

 

  1. Holistic Transition:
    • The U.K.’s recent phase-out approach focused on retraining coal workers, early retirement, regional redevelopment, and renewable energy projects such as offshore wind farms.
    • Repurposing coal infrastructure for cleaner energy forms, like biomass conversion at Drax, mitigated the socio-economic impacts of the transition.
    • Despite some resistance, such as in the steel industry, the U.K. adopted clear timelines for the coal phase-out, which were supported by public awareness on climate change.

 

India’s Coal Story:

  1. Energy Dependency:
    • India’s coal reliance is significant, with about 70% of its energy output coming from coal, accounting for 218 GW of installed capacity.
    • The average age of Indian coal plants is around 12 years, implying they will operate for decades before decommissioning.
    • India is yet to reach peak coal production and consumption, expected around 2030-2035.

 

  1. Employment and Economic Considerations:
    • India’s coal sector provides direct and indirect employment to over a million people. Many regions depend on coal for livelihood, especially those transitioning from agriculture.
    • Unlike the U.K., India’s coal-producing regions are among the poorest in the country, making a rapid phase-out economically and socially challenging.

 

Lessons for India:

  1. Avoiding Past Mistakes: India can learn from the U.K.’s 1980s mistakes by ensuring that any transition is inclusive, gradual, and involves retraining programs to avoid socio-economic shocks to coal-dependent regions.
  2. Transition Planning:
    • India needs to set clear, transparent timelines for plant decommissioning and renewable energy expansion.
    • Focus on creating region-specific redevelopment programs for coal-dependent areas, ensuring the retraining of workers for future industries, including renewables and heavy machinery sectors.
  3. Regional Redevelopment and Renewable Push: Similar to the U.K., India should focus on boosting renewables like solar and wind, with projects near existing coal regions to utilize infrastructure and create new job opportunities.

 

Conclusion:

India’s path to net-zero emissions will require a phased and adaptive approach, considering the country’s heavy dependence on coal, socio-economic challenges, and development goals.

A just transition can be achieved through early planning, regional redevelopment, and workforce retraining, learning from the U.K.’s experience while tailoring solutions to India’s specific needs.

 

Mains Practice Question

 

Q: “Discuss the challenges and opportunities for India in transitioning from coal-based energy to renewable energy, in light of the U.K.’s experience. How can India ensure a just transition for its coal-dependent regions?”

 

2. India's Evolving Palestine Policy: From Anti-Colonial Solidarity to Strategic Pragmatism

Introduction:

India’s stance on the Palestinian cause, once a reflection of its anti-colonial ethos and non-aligned ideals, has seen a significant shift, especially in recent decades.

The alignment with Israel and the sidelining of Palestine reflects a broader move from values-based diplomacy to a pragmatic, transactional approach, influenced by both domestic ideological shifts and global strategic considerations.

 

Historical Context:

  1. Pre-Cold War Era:
    • India’s early support for Palestine was rooted in its anti-colonial values, aligning with the Non-Aligned Movement and supporting self-determination.
    • Leaders like Jawaharlal Nehru and Indira Gandhi saw support for Palestine as a moral imperative tied to India’s post-colonial identity.

 

  1. Post-Cold War Shift:
    • Following the end of the Cold War, India’s foreign policy began shifting from ideological commitments to a more interest-based approach, prioritizing economic and strategic relations.
    • Diplomatic ties with Israel, established in 1992, flourished, particularly in the fields of defense, technology, and agriculture.

 

Rise of Hindutva and Ideological Shifts:

  1. Influence of Hindutva:
    • The rise of the BJP and Hindutva ideology under Narendra Modi has led to a growing affinity with Israel, seen as a partner in combating perceived Islamic threats.
    • This has shifted public discourse, where support for Palestine is increasingly viewed through a communal lens and framed as a threat to national security.
  2. Policy of ‘Dehyphenation’:
    • India now treats its relations with Israel and Palestine separately, focusing on deepening strategic ties with Israel while offering rhetorical support to Palestine without active engagement.

 

Transactional Diplomacy:

  1. From Values to Interests:
    • India’s foreign policy is increasingly driven by economic and strategic interests, aligning with global trends where partnerships are formed based on mutual benefits.
    • India’s relations with Israel have grown, with trade crossing $10 billion in 2022-23, supported by defense cooperation and technological collaboration.

 

  1. Marginalisation of Palestine:
    • While India continues to officially support a two-state solution, Palestine lacks immediate economic or strategic significance in India’s foreign policy.
    • The focus has shifted to energy security, investments, and the diaspora, especially in West Asia, with Palestine being relegated.

 

Strategic Ambitions and Great Power Politics:

  1. Geopolitical Calculations:
    • India’s ambitions to emerge as a global power and align with U.S. strategic interests have further driven the shift in its Palestine policy.
    • The China-U.S. rivalry and India’s deepening ties with Israel, a key U.S. ally, influence its positioning on West Asian geopolitics.
  2. Rhetorical Shift:
    • From non-alignment to multialignment, India’s foreign policy rebranding has diluted its historical values, prioritizing strategic autonomy and power politics over principled stances.

 

Conclusion:

India’s shift from a values-driven foreign policy to a transactional and strategic approach has significantly impacted its stance on Palestine.

While maintaining a nominal endorsement of a two-state solution, India’s foreign policy now prioritizes pragmatic ties with Israel, driven by economic, strategic, and ideological factors.

This transition mirrors broader global trends where power politics increasingly trumps historical values and commitments.

 

Mains Practice Question

 

Q: “Discuss the factors contributing to India’s shift in foreign policy towards Palestine. How has this affected its stance on the Israel-Palestine conflict in the context of India’s evolving diplomatic priorities?”

 

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